After a very dry past few months, the Ohio Valley is finally getting a good soaking rain. The drought is not over by any means; however, at this point every drop counts. As of last week, almost the entire state of Kentucky was in a severe drought. Extreme drought conditions are even showing up in southern portions of the state. It has been quite sometime since this area has been in a drought of this intensity and it’s going to take multiple storm systems like this one to put a dent in it.
The map below from the US Drought Monitor shows the extent of the drought in Kentucky.
So far today 1-2″ of rain has fallen across Western and Central Kentucky and Indiana. Tomorrow night more rain is in the forecast across the eastern portions of Kentucky, where the drought is the worst.
The current radar below from the National Weather Service shows rain engulfing much of the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. This rain will move eastward through the night giving way to much drier conditions during the day on Tuesday.
Tuesday for the most part will be a very nice day across the region with southerly winds and temps well into the 60s. Unfortunately, the nice weather won’t last long as the main cold front will move though late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning bringing with it colder air and more rain. The map below is from the NAM4K model showing rain along and east of the I-65 corridor tomorrow night. This area has the best chance of getting a good soaking rain. Areas west of I-65, especially in Indiana will be much drier and could escape the rain completely.
Once the front clears the region early Wednesday morning, much drier air will move in allowing clouds to begin to break. The cold air will be lagging behind a bit which means Wednesday afternoon may turn out very nice with temps in the upper 50s to low 60s. The cold air will reach the Ohio Valley Wednesday night allowing temps to fall into the 20s for lows and 40s for highs the rest of the week.
Weekend and Next Week
The weekend looks to start out cold and dry; however, some weather models are showing a southern storm system that could impact the region sometime Sunday and into early next week. Right now none of the models for this time period agree on what will happen as some show dry, sunny weather and some show rain. This will be an interesting system to watch over the next couple of days. More updates to come as the weekend gets closer.
Tuesday: partly cloudy skies. Rain developing late. Lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Highs in the mid to upper 60s.
Wednesday: morning rain moving east throughout the day. Lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to low 60s.
Thursday: mostly sunny skies. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.
Friday: mostly sunny skies. Lows in the upper 20s to low 30s. Highs in the mid to upper 40s.
Saturday: partly cloudy skies. Lows in the mid 20s to near 30. Highs in the mid 40s.
Sunday: mostly cloudy skies. Scattered showers. Lows in the low to mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
Monday: mostly cloudy skies. Scattered showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.