Leaves aren’t the only thing falling

It’s election day! So go out and vote! But before heading out the door make sure to bring a light jacket and an umbrella as showers will be moving through the region for the rest of the day.

Unfortunately, the cooler weather is here to stay. The first week of November started out with record warmth; however the leaves won’t be the only thing falling over the next week. The forecast calls for the coolest temperatures of the season so far. That isn’t saying much as the “cold” air will drop temps down to around where they should be for this time of year. Let’s take a look at the set up for the next week.

Today

Currently a cold front stretching from Canada all the way down to Missouri is making its way through Indiana. This front is the reason for the rain today. After the front pushes through the region, high pressure will take over drying things out for the next week. The map below from the SPC shows the front moving through the area with a large area of high pressure behind it.

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This map below from Weather Underground shows rain moving through the area.The first batch of rain in Kentucky is mainly light rain and should not cause too many issues. The main band of rain in Indiana will slowly sag south and eastward throughout the day. This band is where the steadier rain is located and could cause slow delays around rush hour.

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Wednesday – Weekend

Once the front pushes through high pressure will take over bringing with it drier but cooler weather. The map below from Pivotal Weather shows the GFS forecast for Saturday. A high pressure system right over the Ohio Valley means skies will be clear, winds will be calm and the atmosphere will be very dry. This set up will cause temps to drop below freezing in the mornings for almost everyone for the first time this season. Highs will be pretty chilly too struggling to reach 60 this weekend.

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Another major story this fall is the drought conditions. These little rain events once a week are not doing much to help the ongoing drought across the Ohio Valley. The recent update from the US Drought Monitor (map below) shows over 81 percent of the state of Kentucky in a moderate drought compared to only 24 percent on October 25th. With dry conditions in the forecast and drought conditions becoming worse, wildfires may become an issue. Be careful when burning leaves this fall as fires will be able to spread easier and faster with all of the dry vegetation around.

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Forecast

Tuesday: Scattered showers. Temps in the 60s.

Wednesday: Skies clearing. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to near 60.

Thursday: Sunny skies. Morning frost possible. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Highs in the low to mid 60s.

Friday: Sunny skies. Lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Highs in the low 60s.

Saturday: Sunny skies. Lows in the low to mid 30s. Widespread frost and freezing conditions possible. Cool. Highs in the mid 50s.

Sunday: Sunny Skies. Hard Freeze possible. Lows in the upper 20s to low 30s. Highs in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Monday: Sunny. Lows in the mid 30s to near 40. Highs in the low 60s.

 

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