Typical Fall Pattern

Good Tuesday Afternoon across the Ohio Valley. The weather to start out this month has been quite warm with multiple days in the 80s and sunny skies. Fortunately, more warm days are in the forecast, but remember as we head into fall a more up and down weather pattern will take over. This week the Ohio Valley will see small ups and downs with temps fluctuating between the 60s and 80s day to day with small rain chances, but overall nothing too crazy.

Tuesday through Wednesday

A system to the northwest will push a cold front through the region later Wednesday night and into Thursday morning. Ahead of this front temps will rise into the upper 70s to near 80 under mostly sunny skies. Clouds will be on the increase later in the day Wednesday as the cold front approaches. The map below from the SPC shows the current set up.

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Thursday through Friday

The cold front is forecast to push through early Thursday morning will bring a chance for showers for everyone across the region. A rumble of thunder or two is possible but for the most part this should just be a light rain event. The forecast map below from the NAM4K model shows rain moving through the region a little after midnight.

refcmp.us_ov.png

As for temperatures, get ready for a taste of fall! Highs behind the front both Thursday and Friday will get up only into the mid 60s under partly cloudy skies. Make sure to grab the jacket Friday morning as some spots outside of the major cities may drop down into the upper 30s for the first time this season!

The Weekend

The forecast for the weekend is a little iffy as all of the weather data  from the different models do not agree on exactly what will happen.

For now the Saturday looks like the best day of the weekend. Southerly winds will return allowing temps to rise well into the 70s for everyone. Skies should be partly cloudy as a weak system will pass by to the south increasing clouds and moisture in the area.

Sunday a front pushes through during the day. Models still disagree what time the front and showers push through. If the rain holds off until later in the day, Sunday may turn out to be very nice with temperatures rising near 80. But if the rain comes earlier in the day, temps may not make it much above 70. Over the next couple days as the weather models begin to agree on timing, the forecast will become clearer.

 

Forecast: 

Tuesday: Am clouds, Pm sun. Highs in the mid to upper 70s to near 80.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy skies. Rain moving in after sunset. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs near 80.

Thursday: Am showers. Clouds clearing out in the afternoon. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.

Friday: Partly cloudy skies. Patchy frost in some areas in the morning. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.

Saturday: Partly cloudy skies. Isolated morning showers in southern Kentucky. Lows in the upper 40s to near 50. Highs in the upper 70s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy skies. Scattered showers. Lows in the upper 50s to near 60. Highs in the 70s.

 

 

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